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Exploring the Time-Based Patterns of Blockchain Activity
By Kyle Waters, Nate Maddrey, and Matías Andrade
Blockchains are well known for offering a degree of pseudo-anonymity to transactors. But even though individual transactions might not be all that revealing, the collective behavior of blockchain users can be informative in understanding broader usage patterns.
One example of this is time-based patterns and seasonality. The activity levels of some crypto assets have been known to show high amounts of clustering during certain times of the day. For example, in the past we’ve analyzed the activity patterns of USDC and Tether to show that USDC is moved around most during New York/US trading hours while Tether is used primarily during Asia/Pacific and European business hours.
In this week’s State of the Network, we broaden this study to many different assets, examining the daily variation in on-chain activity to elucidate when these crypto assets are typically most active.
In each of the following charts we break down the percentage of daily balance updates (credits and debits to wallets) for each asset by hour of day using data from ATLAS, Coin Metrics’ blockchain search tool designed to standardize and simplify raw blockchain data. Using this powerful universal blockchain data model, the heatmaps below summarize the time patterns emerging from hundreds of millions of balance updates since 2021.
We visually segment activity into three main categories based on the trading hours of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKSE, 1:30 - 8:00 UTC), the London Stock Exchange (LSE, 8:00 - 16:30 UTC), and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE, 14:30 - 21:00 UTC). Note that the data is smoothed with a 30-day moving average.
Stablecoins
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
As mentioned above, one of the strongest observable patterns is the distribution of USDC and Tether (USDT) balance updates. USDC activity is highly concentrated during US market hours while USDT activity is centered around Asian and European market hours (note this is true for Tether across the Omni layer and Tron as well).
Looking across other stablecoins, transfers of Gemini’s GUSD, as well as Paxos’ USDP (aka PAX) and Paxos Gold (PAXG) are concentrated during US business hours – a reasonable outcome for US-based issuers. Binance’s BUSD, which is issued in partnership with Paxos, is also active during early US business hours and European market hours.
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Bitcoin
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Most activity for Bitcoin is now concentrated during European/US business hours with a noticeable downward change in the percentage of activity during Asia/Pacific hours around July 2021. While it is not entirely certain, this does correspond to the crackdown on Bitcoin mining in China that took place last spring and summer.
Ethereum
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH balance updates) does not show as strong of a daily pattern. Balance updates are somewhat dispersed. However, when looking at fees, there is a tendency for gas fees to be higher during US market hours, historically.
Cardano
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Most balance updates for Cardano are concentrated during the hours of 14:00 to 23:00 UTC, overlapping with US/Americas business hours.
Algorand
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Algorand activity is higher during NYSE hours but exhibits distinct bands of activity. In the last few months, the 11:00 UTC hour has been especially active.
Ethereum Classic
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Ethereum Classic exhibits curious concentrations of activity consistently within certain hours mostly taking place during the Asia/Pacific session, and we observe clusters with more than 6% excess balance updates relative to the rolling mean consistently around 1:00, 6:00 and 7:00 UTC.
Looking deeper into the activity of specific accounts, we find one (likely) mining pool account 0xe7e6c88ad1bab6508a251b7995f44fb1c5e3dcf7 that tends to make its payouts to miners between 7:00 and 8:00 UTC.
Litecoin
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Litecoin exhibits some interesting behavior clustering roughly between 1:00-3:00 UTC, which aligns with the Asia/Pacific market open, clustering tightly around a single hour bin. There is also an increase in activity during the LSE and NYSE sessions.
Bitcoin Cash
Source: Coin Metrics’ ATLAS
Bitcoin Cash has three clusters at 3:00, 12:00 and 20:00 UTC. Activity is most concentrated in Asia/Pacific and London sessions, but their share of activity has decreased relative to last year’s data.
Bitcoin Cash has in the past exhibited a skewed activity profile due to applications and give aways.
Conclusion
The transparency of public blockchain data allows for incredibly rich insights to be made into the nature of activity conducted on-chain. While balance updates are a useful primitive to study activity levels, other metrics could be used such as the number of active addresses by hour, total amount transferred, and fees paid by users.
To keep up to date on on-chain data across the entire crypto ecosystem check out our free charting tools, formula builder, and correlation tool.
Network Data Insights
Summary Metrics
Source: Coin Metrics Network Data Pro
Bitcoin daily active addresses held steady at around 870K week-over-week, a 1% rise. Ethereum active addresses fell by 1%, to an average of 538K/day. Other on-chain metrics picked up over the week as crypto assets rose broadly. BTC adjusted transfer value ($) rose 30% week-over-week to a daily average of $12B.
Coin Metrics Updates
This week’s updates from the Coin Metrics team:
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